Predictions v. Actual Game Scores
2004-05; 2005-06; and 2006-07

.

Date Home Visitor Predicted Scores Predicted Actual Score Actual
Team Team Home Visitors Margin Home Visitors Margin
41120 Kentucky Coppin 82 50 32 77 46 31
41123 Kentucky BALL ST 81 60 21 73 53 20
41126 Kentucky GEORGIAST 86 52 34 77 59 18
41130 Kentucky TENNTECH 120 77 42 92 63 29
41204 UNC Kentucky 85 63 22 91 78 13
41208 Kentucky Morehead 94 80 13 71 40 31
41211 Kentucky Indiana@ 65 62 2 73 58 15
41218 Louisville Kentucky 74 73 0 58 60 -2
41222 Kentucky Will & Mary 103 83 20 92 47 45
41229 Kentucky Campbell 82 56 27 82 50 32
50105 Kentucky USC 66 66 0 79 75 4
50109 Kentucky Kansas 66 74 -8 59 65 -6
50112 Kentucky Vanderbilt 70 67 3 69 54 15
50115 Georgia Kentucky 62 74 -13 55 76 -21
50119 Mississippi Kentucky 62 72 -10 50 53 -3
50122 Kentucky LSU 77 69 7 89 58 31
50125 Tennessee Kentucky 65 74 -9 62 84 -22
50129 Arkansas Kentucky 67 70 -3 67 68 -1
50205 Vanderbilt Kentucky 66 71 -4 70 84 -14
50208 Kentucky Florida 71 70 1 69 66 3
50212 Kentucky Georgia 73 61 12 60 51 9
50215 USC Kentucky 65 69 -5 73 61 12
50219 Kentucky Miss St 71 67 4 94 78 16
50223 Kentucky Auburn 77 66 12 81 73 8
50226 Alabama Kentucky 70 70 0 71 78 -7
50302 Kentucky Tennessee 73 66 7 73 61 12
50306 Florida Kentucky 69 69 0 53 52 1
50311 Kentucky Tennessee 72 66 7 76 62 14
50312 Kentucky LSU 74 69 4 79 78 1
50313 Kentucky Florida 70 69 1 53 70 -17
50317 Kentucky EKU 76 63 13 72 64 8
50319 Kentucky Cincinnati 71 69 2 69 60 9
50325 Kentucky Utah 68 63 5 62 52 10
50327 Kentucky Michigan State 70 71 -1 88 94 -6
51113 Kentucky S. Dakota St. 78 57 22 71 54 17
51114 Kentucky Lipscomb 79 63 16 67 49 18
51121 Texas West Virginia 68 59 9 76 75 1
51121 Kentucky Iowa 60 69 -9 63 67 -4
51122 Kentucky W. Virginia 67 69 -2 80 66 14
51125 Kentucky Liberty 79 53 26 81 51 30
51129 Kentucky HighPoint 78 61 17 75 55 20
51203 Kentucky UNC 72 69 3 79 83 -4
51206 Georgia St Kentucky 64 76 -12 46 73 -27
51210 Kentucky Indiana 72 73 -1 53 79 -26
51217 Kentucky Louisville 67 70 -3 73 61 12
51223 Kentucky Iona @ Louisville (BBSN) 73 66 7 73 67 6
51230 Kentucky Ohio @ Cincinnati (ESPN2) 67 65 3 71 63 8
60103 Kentucky Central Florida (BBSN) 73 55 18 59 57 2
60107 Kentucky @ Kansas (ESPN) 67 66 -1 73 46 27
60110 Kentucky Vanderbilt (ESPN) 67 88 -21 52 57 -5
60114 Kentucky Alabama (CBS) 68 65 3 64 68 -4
60117 Kentucky @ Georgia (ESPN) 68 70 2 55 69 -14
60121 Kentucky South Carolina (JP) 64 66 -2 80 78 2
60124 Kentucky @ Auburn (ESPN) 64 66 2 62 71 -9
60129 Kentucky Arkansas (CBS) 66 68 -2 78 76 2
60201 Kentucky @ Mississippi State (JP) 65 66 1 66 81 -15
60204 Kentucky @ Florida (ESPN2) 76 62 -14 95 80 15
60207 Kentucky Tennessee (ESPN) 71 74 -3 67 75 -8
60211 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt (JP) 71 64 -7 84 81 3
60215 Kentucky Georgia (JP) 74 66 9 68 61 7
60218 Kentucky @ South Carolina (CBS) 72 62 -10 66 79 -13
60222 Kentucky Ole Miss (JP) 74 61 13 80 40 40
60225 Kentucky @ LSU (CBS) 74 64 -11 71 67 4
60301 Kentucky @ Tennessee (JP) 79 67 -12 78 80 -2
60305 Kentucky Florida 69 72 -3 64 79 -15
60309 Kentucky Mississippi SEC 95 81 14 71 57 14
60310 Kentucky Alabama SEC 69 68 0 68 61 7
60311 Kentucky USC SEC 67 66 1 61 65 -4
60317 Kentucky NCAA UAB 68 70 -2 69 64 5
60319 Kentucky NCAA UCONN 67 74 -7 83 87 -4
no 61115 Kentucky Miami_Ohio 69 60 9 57 46 11
no 61117 Kentucky MissValleyState 77 47 30 79 56 23
no 61120 Kentucky DePaul @ Maui
no 61121 Kentucky Team2 @ Maui
no 61122 Kentucky Team3 @ Maui
no 61128 Kentucky CollegeofCharleston
no 61202 Kentucky @ UNC
no 61205 Kentucky Chattanooga @ Louisville
no 61209 Kentucky Indiana
no 61216 Kentucky @ Louisville
no 61219 Kentucky Santa Clara
no 61222 Kentucky Massachusetts
no 61229 Kentucky Eastern Kentucky
no 70103 Kentucky Houston
no 70110 Kentucky @ Ole Miss
no
Total Predictions 34 Right Picks: 31 91.2%
Averages 73 67 4 71 65 6
Through Maximum 120 88 42 95 94 45
2004-05 Minimum 60 34 -21 31 1 -27
Season Std Dev 10 8 12 12 14 15
Total Predictions 36 Right Picks: 26 72.2%
Averages 71 67 1 70 68 1
2005-06 Maximum 95 88 26 95 87
Season Minimum 60 53 -21 46 40
Std Dev 6 7 10 10 12
Total Predictions 70 Right Picks: 57 81.4%
Averages 73 67 4 71 66 1
Cummulative Maximum 120 88 42 95 94
Totals through Minimum 60 50 -21 46 40
2004-06 Std Dev 10 7 12 11 12
Date Number Number of Percentage Number Number of Percentage Did Model
of Games Correct of Correct of Games Correct of Correct Predict
2004-06 Predictions Predictions 2005-06 Predictions Predictions Winner? 0.983346
2004-06 2004-06 2005-06 2005-06
41120 1 1 100.0% YES
41123 2 2 100.0% YES
41126 3 3 100.0% YES
41130 4 4 100.0% YES
41204 5 5 100.0% YES
41208 6 6 100.0% YES
41211 7 7 100.0% YES
41218 8 7 87.5% NO
41222 9 8 88.9% YES
41229 10 9 90.0% YES
50105 11 10 90.9% YES
50109 12 11 91.7% YES
50112 13 12 92.3% YES
50115 14 13 92.9% YES
50119 15 14 93.3% YES
50122 16 15 93.8% YES
50125 17 16 94.1% YES
50129 18 17 94.4% YES
50205 19 18 94.7% YES
50208 20 19 95.0% YES
50212 21 20 95.2% YES
50215 22 20 90.9% NO
50219 23 21 91.3% YES
50223 24 22 91.7% YES
50226 25 23 92.0% YES
50302 26 24 92.3% YES
50306 27 25 92.6% YES
50311 28 26 92.9% YES
50312 29 27 93.1% YES
50313 30 27 90.0% NO
50317 31 28 90.3% YES
50319 32 29 90.6% YES
50325 33 30 90.9% YES
50327 34 31 91.2% 0 0 YES
51113 35 32 91.4% 1 1 100.0% YES
51114 36 33 91.7% 2 2 100.0% YES
51121 37 34 91.9% 3 3 100.0% YES
51121 38 35 92.1% 4 4 100.0% YES
51122 39 35 89.7% 5 4 80.0% NO
51125 40 36 90.0% 6 5 83.3% YES
51129 41 37 90.2% 7 6 85.7% YES
51203 42 37 88.1% 8 6 75.0% NO
51206 43 38 88.4% 9 7 77.8% YES
51210 44 39 88.6% 10 8 80.0% YES
51217 45 39 86.7% 11 8 72.7% NO
51223 46 40 87.0% 12 9 75.0% YES
51230 47 41 87.2% 13 10 76.9% YES
60103 48 42 87.5% 14 11 78.6% YES
60107 49 43 87.8% 15 12 80.0% YES
60110 50 44 88.0% 16 13 81.3% YES
60114 51 44 86.3% 17 13 76.5% NO
60117 52 45 86.5% 18 14 77.8% YES
60121 53 45 84.9% 19 14 73.7% NO
60124 54 46 85.2% 20 15 75.0% YES
60129 55 46 83.6% 21 15 71.4% NO
60201 56 47 83.9% 22 16 72.7% YES
60204 57 48 84.2% 23 17 73.9% YES
60207 58 49 84.5% 24 18 75.0% YES
60211 59 50 84.7% 25 19 76.0% YES
60215 60 51 85.0% 26 20 76.9% YES
60218 61 51 83.6% 27 20 74.1% NO
60222 62 52 83.9% 28 21 75.0% YES
60225 63 53 84.1% 29 22 75.9% YES
60301 64 53 82.8% 30 22 73.3% NO
60305 65 54 83.1% 31 23 74.2% YES
60309 66 55 83.3% 32 24 75.0% YES
60310 67 56 83.6% 33 25 75.8% YES
60311 68 56 82.4% 34 25 73.5% NO
60317 69 56 81.2% 35 25 71.4% NO
60319 70 57 81.4% 36 26 72.2% YES
61115 71 58 81.7% 1 1 100.0% YES
no 61117 72 59 81.9% 2 2 100.0% YES

 

 

 

Copyright 2004 through 2006 Richard Cheeks
All Rights Reserved