EXPLANATION OF DATA AND
Kentucky Handles Ball State
Kentucky ventured outside the friendly confines of Rupp Arena tonight for the first time this year. Kentucky defeated a pesky Ball State team tonight on the strength of an outstanding defensive performance. Ball State provided the young Kentucky team all it wanted, holding a 2 point lead early in the second half.
The final score was 73 - 53. Based on last season's NCAA RPI Strength of Schedule and season performance, I predicted a 22 point Kentucky margin. For the second game in a row, the game performance was stronger than expected on defense. However, the Kentucky offensive performance was above their early season average. The defense forced 19 Ball State turnovers and forced Ball State to shoot poorly.
During the Ball State game, Kentucky had a total of 76 possessions, thirteen of which resulted from offensive rebounds. The average offensive efficiency for the first chance possessions for the game was 0.889 points per possession [ppp] while the average efficiency for the 13 second chance possessions was 1.308 ppp. These comparitive results for Kentucky's first and second chance efficiencies are nearly identical to the Coppin State results. However, unlike Kentucky in both games and Coppin State, Ball State's second chance efficiency was only 1/3 their first chance efficiency. Ball State's numbers for first and second chane efficiencies are 0.762 ppp and 0.263 ppp.
Ball State is the fourth game of this season. Kentucky's offensive and defensive efficiency for this season continue to emerge. Click below to view graphical presentation of the data for the first three games played this season. Companion Graphs for last season are also available so you can compare the progress of this season with last.
Copyright 2004 Richard Cheeks