EXPLANATION OF DATA AND
Kentucky Sputters To Finish Line
Kentucky returned to Rupp Arena tonight for another early season non-conference game against a much weaker team. Kentucky handled Georgia State without any difficulty for about 30 minutes. In the last 10 minutes, Georgia State began to make threes [9 of their 12 in the second half].
The final score was 77 - 59. Based on last season's NCAA RPI Strength of Schedule and season performance, I predicted a 34 point Kentucky margin. For the first time this season, the game performance was weaker than expected on offense and defense. The defense forced 21 Georgia State turnovers and forced Georgia State to shoot poorly.
During the Ball State game, Kentucky had a total of 86 possessions, seventeen of which resulted from offensive rebounds. The average offensive efficiency for the first chance possessions for the game was 0.812 points per possession [ppp] while the average efficiency for the 17 second chance possessions was 1.235 ppp. For the third game in a row, Kentucky had higher efficiency on second chance possessions than first chance possessions. However, for the second game in a row, Kentucky's opponent, Georgia State tonight, was less efficient on second chance possessions [0.615 ppp] than first chance possessions [0.718 ppp].
Georgia State is the fifth game of this season. Kentucky's offensive and defensive efficiency for this season continue to emerge. Click below to view graphical presentation of the data for the first three games played this season. Companion Graphs for last season are also available so you can compare the progress of this season with last.
Copyright 2004 Richard Cheeks