EXPLANATION OF DATA AND
Kentucky Dominates Coppin State
Kentucky opened its 2004-05 basketball season impressively by dominating a much weaker Coppin State team by a final score of 77 to 46. Last season, Coppin State was near the bottom of NCAA Division I teams, and based on last season's NCAA RPI Strength of Schedule values, I predicted 30 point Kentucky margin. The game performance was stronger than expected on defense, and slightly weaker than expected on offense. The primary problem with offense came from a low field goal percentage from inside the arc. The defense forced 21 Coppin State turnovers and forced Coppin State to shoot poorly.
During the Coppin State game, Kentucky had a total of 83 possessions, fifteen of which resulted from offensive rebounds. The average offensive efficiency for the first chance possessions for the game was 0.851 points per possession [ppp] while the average efficiency for the 15 second chance possessions was 1.333 ppp. Similarly, Coppin State had first and second chane efficiencies of 0.543 ppp and 0.800 ppp. In both cases, the second chance efficiency is 67 percent higher than the first chance possessions.
Coppin State is the third game of this season. Kentucky's offensive and defensive efficiency for this season are beginning to emerge. Click below to view graphical presentation of the data for all games played this season. Companion Graphs for last season are also available so you can compare the progress of this season with last.
Copyright 2004 Richard Cheeks