EXPLANATION OF DATA AND
PRESENTATION FORMATS

Kentucky Takes Care of Business with a "Routine" Road Win over Georgia

Kentucky Maintained its unbeaten status in the SEC by securing a perfunctory road victory over the hapless Georgia Bulldogs. 76 - 55.

Kentucky's offensive efficiency for the game was a strong 0.927 ppp, significantly higher than the 0.899 ppp I predicted.   On defense, Kentucky held Georgia to 0.786 ppp, only slightly higher than the 0.762 ppp I predicted. 

Based on this season's NCAA RPI Strength of Schedule and season performance, I predicted a twelve point Kentucky margin, 74- 62. 

During the Vanderbilt game, Kentucky had a total of 82 possessions, fourteen of which resulted from offensive rebounds.  I was not able to watch the game due to previous travel commitments, so I don't have a record of second chance points. Georgia had 4 second chance possessions and 66 first chance possessions. 

Kentucky continues SEC conference play next Wednesday, on the road for the second straight game, this time at Mississippi. 

Let's compare the teams as of January 15, 2005

        UK               Mississippi

Win-Loss Record         11 - 2             10 - 6
Offensive Efficiency    0.900     0.898 Points per Poss
Defensive Efficiency    0.727       0.834 ppp
Net Game Efficiency   0.173      0.064  ppp
RPI Ranking, 1/10/04   19           147
RPI SOS, 1/10/04      0.5635    0 .4867

Based on each team's early performance with an adjustment for strength of schedule, I would make the following prediction based on data available 1/16/05 at 7 pm.  I will update this prediction from time to time between now and game time as indicated by daily changes in the current Strength of Schedule factor.

             UK  71  Mississippi   62
                 See details Below

    
Kentucky
Mississippi
Points
71
62
FGM
25
22
FGA
47.3%
53
53
42.3%
3PTM
6
7
3PTA
34.7%
17
19
35.1%
FTM
14
10
FTA
65.5%
22
16
62.2%
TO
5.35
15
17
4.57
REB
35
34
Possessions
79
78
PPP
0.896
0.789

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Copyright 2004 Richard Cheeks
All Rights Reserved